Sabtu, 29 Januari 2011

Download PDF Baby Be MineBy Paige Toon

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Baby Be MineBy Paige Toon

'He's not mine, is he?' That's the question I fear the most. You see, I have a secret. My son is not fathered by my boyfriend, but by one of the most famous rock stars that ever lived. And he doesn't even know it. One-time celebrity personal assistant to wild boy of rock Johnny Jefferson, Meg Stiles is now settled and living in the south of France with her doting boyfriend Christian and their son Barney. But they're living a lie - a lie that will turn their lives upside down and inside out - because as Barney reaches his first birthday, Meg can no longer deny that her son is growing to look more and more like his rock star father every day, and less and less like Christian, and sooner or later, the world is going to realise ...

  • Sales Rank: #2059741 in Books
  • Published on: 2011
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 7.80" h x .5" w x 5.12" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 464 pages

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Kamis, 20 Januari 2011

Ebook Download 1001 Ridiculous Ways to DieBy David Southwell

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1001 Ridiculous Ways to DieBy David Southwell

The woman who drunk herself to death with water trying to win a games console by holding in her wee...the mechanic who blew himself up while trying to open a rocket-propelled grenade with a sledgehammer...a lottery winner killed by the gates of his new luxury home...a woman felled forever by a fatal falling lettuce...an octogenarian who met his maker while riding a shopping trolley...a German artist crushed by one of his own sculptures called 'Woman With Four Breasts'...the convicted murderer who electrocuted himself on the toilet as he repaired a TV - all true reports from across the globe which reveal the silliest ways you can meet your maker. Death may seem like a serious business, but this is a seriously funny book.

  • Sales Rank: #839117 in Books
  • Published on: 2008-09-01
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 7.80" h x 1.06" w x 5.08" l, .83 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 320 pages

About the Author
Although better known for his books on parapolitics and true crime, David Southwell has written and contributed to a number of strong selling humour books. A regular broadcaster in the UK, Europe and the US, he spent more than 15 years as a journalist and editor before turning fulltime to writing. Among his current non-book projects are a film-script about the life of US cult comedian Bill Hicks and a documentary for BBC Radio 4.

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Minggu, 16 Januari 2011

Download Ebook Statistical Methods for Forecasting (Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics)By Bovas Abraham, Johannes Ledolter

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Statistical Methods for Forecasting (Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics)By Bovas Abraham, Johannes Ledolter

The Wiley-Interscience Paperback Series consists of selected books that have been made more accessible to consumers in an effort to increase global appeal and general circulation. With these new unabridged softcover volumes, Wiley hopes to extend the lives of these works by making them available to future generations of statisticians, mathematicians, and scientists.

"This book, it must be said, lives up to the words on its advertising cover: 'Bridging the gap between introductory, descriptive approaches and highly advanced theoretical treatises, it provides a practical, intermediate level discussion of a variety of forecasting tools, and explains how they relate to one another, both in theory and practice.' It does just that!"
-Journal of the Royal Statistical Society

"A well-written work that deals with statistical methods and models that can be used to produce short-term forecasts, this book has wide-ranging applications. It could be used in the context of a study of regression, forecasting, and time series analysis by PhD students; or to support a concentration in quantitative methods for MBA students; or as a work in applied statistics for advanced undergraduates."
-Choice

Statistical Methods for Forecasting is a comprehensive, readable treatment of statistical methods and models used to produce short-term forecasts. The interconnections between the forecasting models and methods are thoroughly explained, and the gap between theory and practice is successfully bridged. Special topics are discussed, such as transfer function modeling; Kalman filtering; state space models; Bayesian forecasting; and methods for forecast evaluation, comparison, and control. The book provides time series, autocorrelation, and partial autocorrelation plots, as well as examples and exercises using real data. Statistical Methods for Forecasting serves as an outstanding textbook for advanced undergraduate and graduate courses in statistics, business, engineering, and the social sciences, as well as a working reference for professionals in business, industry, and government.

  • Sales Rank: #1905877 in Books
  • Published on: 1983-09-19
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.31" h x 1.07" w x 6.28" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 464 pages

From the Publisher
Presents the statistical methods and models used in the production of short-term forecasts. Deals with special topics such as transfer function analysis, Kalman filtering, state space models, Bayesian forecasting, and forecast evaluation. Explains their interconnections, and bridges the gap between theory and practice. Provides time series, autocorrelation, and partial autocorrelation plots. Includes examples and exercises using real data.

From the Inside Flap
Statistical Methods for Forecasting is a comprehensive, readable treatment of statistical models and methods used to produce short-term forecasts. Bridging the gap between introductory, descriptive approaches and highly advanced theoretical treatises, it provides a practical intermediate-level discussion of a venery of forecasting tools, and explains how they relate to one another both in theory and practice. While the emphasis is on the familiar regression models, and exponential smoothing and parametric time series models for nonseasonal and seasonal data, the text also treats a number of special topics such as transfer function analysis, Kalman filtering, state space models, Bayesian forecasting, seasonal adjustment and forecast evaluation. A unique feature of the presentation is the interrelation of forecasts from exponential smoothing and forecasts from ARIMA (autoregressive integrated moving average) time series models. This discussion shows which ARIMA models imply the various exponential smoothing forecast procedures as special cases. The text also adopts a model-based approach to forecasting, one which uses available data to construct appropriate models. Statistical Methods for Forecasting serves as an outstanding textbook for graduate and advanced undergraduate courses in forecasting for students of statistics, mathematics, business, engineering, and the social sciences, as well as a basic working reference for professional forecasters in business, industry, and government. It includes a large number of examples and exercises (using real data) and provides numerous time series, autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation plots as illustrations.

From the Back Cover
Econometric Analysis by Control Methods Gregory C. Chow Reports on new developments in the techniques and applications of stochastic control in economics that have token place since the author’s Analysis and Control of Dynamic Economic Systems (Wiley, 1975). Includes techniques tailored to nonlinear, simultaneous-equation models in economics, and a guide to a computer program for finding optimal control solutions; control techniques for the analysis and formulation of economic policies and the comparison of econometric models; estimation and control of econometric models under the assumption of rational expectations; and the application of stochastic control methods to models in continuous time. 1981 320 pp. Regression Diagnostics Identifying Influential Data and Sources of Collinearity David A. Belsley, Edwin Kuh and Roy E. Welsch Provides practicing statisticians and econometricians with new tools for assessing quality and reliability of regression estimates. Diagnostic techniques are developed that: aid in the systematic location of data points that are unusual or inordinately influential; measure the presence and intensity of collinear relations among the regression data; help to identify the variables involved in each; pinpoint estimated coefficients that are potentially the most adversely affected. Emphasizes diagnostics and includes suggestions for remedial action. Wiley Series in Probability and Mathematical Statistics. 1980 292 pp. Forecasting with Univariate Box-Jenkins Models Concepts and Cases Alan Pankratz Explains the concepts and use of univariate Box-Jenkins/ARIMA analysis and forecasting through 15 case studies. Cases show how to build good ARIMA models in a step-by-step manner using red data. Also includes examples of model misspecification. Provides guidance to alternative models and discusses reasons for choosing one over another. 1983 560 pp.

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Kamis, 30 Desember 2010

Ebook Download DNA MICROARRAY ANALYSIS: A GRAPHICAL USER INTERFACE TO ANALYZE DNA MICROARRAYS USING MATLAB FRAMEWORKBy Emad Younis

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DNA MICROARRAY ANALYSIS: A GRAPHICAL USER INTERFACE TO ANALYZE DNA MICROARRAYS USING MATLAB FRAMEWORKBy Emad Younis

DNA microarray technology facilitates rapid examination of thousands of genes at once, for the purposes of disease diagnoses, toxicology, gene discovery and drug discovery. The genes are arranged over a bi-dimensional grid on a tiny glass slide. Each spot on the microarray corresponds to a gene of interest, produced through the process of hybridization with complementary DNA, and labeled with either red or green dye for later identification. The microarray is then scanned, producing 2 images, one for each dye. The objective of this project is to create a fully automated Matlab GUI (graphical user interface), to process the microarray images and extract gene expressions without any human interference.

  • Sales Rank: #11191427 in Books
  • Published on: 2010-02-11
  • Original language: English
  • Dimensions: 8.66" h x .16" w x 5.91" l,
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 68 pages

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Jumat, 26 November 2010

Free Download Applied Economic Analysis for Technologists, Engineers, and ManagersBy Michael S. Bowman

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Applied Economic Analysis for Technologists, Engineers, and ManagersBy Michael S. Bowman

While mathematics is used throughout, the focus of this text is on the application of the math techniques in real-world settings. It presents the interrelationship among engineering economy, manufacturing costs, cost improvements, and related topics from the perspective of technical and operating personnel rather than a financial viewpoint. The book covers traditional engineering economy (i.e., time value of money), basic organizational financial concepts (i.e., financial statements and cost accounting), and contemporary financial measurement and improvement concepts.

  • Sales Rank: #2116800 in Books
  • Published on: 1998-09-21
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.50" h x 7.75" w x 1.25" l, 2.29 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 561 pages

From the Back Cover
This unique book provides the basis for making integrated financial decisions in contemporary organizations. It is an essential guide to day-to-day cost improvement activities that reveals the interrelationship among engineering economy, manufacturing costs, cost improvements, and related topics from the perspective of technical and operating personnel rather than a financial viewpoint. The book provides a basis for financial decision-making grounded in an understanding of organizational financial statements, accounting concepts, cash flow analysis, and related financial concepts. It presents the current techniques that are used in making contemporary financial decisions by teams of engineers, managers, technicians, operating, and financial personnel as well as practical applications of these techniques. This book is a valuable resource and reference for engineers, technical professionals, and business managers who are part of cross-functional teams responsible for the economic analysis of projects, equipment and facilities investment, product and process cost improvements, or other team financial decisions in the contemporary organization.

Excerpt. © Reprinted by permission. All rights reserved.

This book is about money. It is about economic analysis, engineering economy, financial calculations, cost reduction, and profit improvement. It is written for students and for those working in design, process and manufacturing engineering, purchasing, and financial analysis in both manufacturing and service organizations; for members of financial improvement teams; and for technical and senior managers. It is also for individuals, proprietors, and small organizations.

No longer are an organization's financial planning and improvements the sole responsibility of a small number of technical, financial, or management staff. Today, organizations implement economic decisions using teams of operating employees, engineers, managers, office and manufacturing personnel, technical and marketing employees, accounting and nonaccounting staff, and others. This book is for those who are or will be members of those teams.

Today, approximately half of the people in the U.S. workforce are responsible for funding their own retirement without employer contributions, and this segment is growing. Also, government retirement plans such as Social Security are becoming a smaller proportion of retirees' benefits. Individuals face more complex financial decisions than in the past as they manage their current finances and plan for future retirement. This book is for individuals and families who are managing their own money decisions.

At work, employees are more involved in the financial decisions and improvements of the organization than they were in the past. At home, they face financial decisions about investments and retirement. With this increased financial responsibility at work and at home, individuals are becoming more financially knowledgeable. This book is for those who want to learn about economic analysis, apply financial tools, understand financial statements, and monitor and continuously improve their financial results.

This text is based on the application of economic analysis and decisions in a capitalistic environment, as in our American economic system. Profit is the cornerstone of our system. As a reward for delivering services and products to customers and meeting or exceeding their expectations, we receive a profit. Competition is the key to economic improvements and success. Competition is international now, so no longer can the United States assume that it is the only economic leader in the world. Our future economic success requires that everyone, individually and in the organization, take responsibility for applying economic analysis, decisions, monitoring, and financial improvement in all our efforts. It is hoped that this book will contribute to that economic goal.

What's New in the Second Edition?

This second edition has a number of improvements and revisions that will interest instructors, students, and practitioners:

  • New end-of-chapter Discussion Case Problems.
  • Additional Problems and Questions at the ends of chapters.
  • New and revised topics of incremental analysis, introduction to risk, marginal analysis, probability, uncertainty, and financial statement ratios.
  • A From Theory to Practice Case Study at the beginning of each chapter to introduce the reader to an initial practical problem for discussion.
  • Important Formulas printed inside the covers for quick reference.

New supplements have been added to support this edition:

  • An extended comprehensive Student Study Guide containing fully-worked solutions to in-text problems and solutions to various Discussion Case Problems (ISBN: 0-13044990-3).
  • New material in the Instructor's Manual, including a comprehensive case study covering major topics, CD of text illustrations in PowerPoint(c) for classroom projection or copying for overhead projection (ISBN: 0-13-048071-1).
Retained Features
  • Over 65 end-of-chapter Discussion Case Problems for application of chapter material, which can be used individually, with teams, or for in-class discussions.
  • Applied, user-friendly examples for technical, design, manufacturing, service, customer, supplier, improvement team, and manager situations.
  • Topics that include both classical engineering economy topics of the time value of money, taxes, depreciation, and replacement analysis, plus contemporary topics of quality economics, financial statements, cash flow, team-based financial analysis, continuous financial improvement, breakeven, minimum costs, and team approaches to economic analysis.
  • More than 380 Review Questions.
  • Over 300 Problems.
  • Team-based examples using the Questions, Problems, and Cases.
  • Personal and family-based financial applications, including loans, mortgages, investments, and retirement accounts.
  • Applied diagrams and calculations that help clarify examples.
  • The chapter format emphasizes learning aids including From Theory to Practice Case Studies, Key Terms, Learning Concepts, Summary, and Discussion Case Problems.
  • Tables and Answers to Odd-Numbered Problems—at end of text.
  • Important Formulas—on endsheets.
Goals and Themes

Major and unique themes of the book are:

  • Both traditional economic analysis techniques and contemporary financial topics and techniques.
  • Emphasis on combining the dual goals of mathematical economic analysis problem solving and external factors of organizational, human, and other nonmathematical influences on decisions.
  • Financial statements and accounting basics related to economic analysis.
  • The financial importance of quality economics.
  • The importance of team approaches in today's organizations.
  • Cases as important bridges from theory and principles to real-world applications.
  • Both corporate and individual examples and applications.
  • Continuous financial improvement.

This text is comprehensive. It not only covers the traditional economic analysis topics but also extends coverage to basic financial statement and accounting understanding. It is difficult to work in a contemporary organization today without a basic understanding of the financial vocabulary and concepts. Employees who are required to do economic analysis and make financial improvements must understand basic vocabulary and concepts about the organization's financial system and its financial statements.

Classical analysis, applying traditional engineering economy principles and mathematics, is intertwined with other contemporary topics throughout the book. The basic principles are unchanging. Applications vary over time.

The emphasis is on both problem solving and nonmathematical considerations in economic analysis. Facts, data, time value of money, and analysis must be combined with organization characteristics, human factors, and other nonmathematical characteristics. Balance and combination are critical. Long-term financial results must be balanced with short-term organization goals.

Coverage also includes quality economics. At first, this may not appear to be a 1noneyrelated topic. However, experienced managers, engineers, and technicians know that as much as 20% or more of the organization's sales revenue can be lost due to poor quality. Today's staff is expected to understand quality, its cost, and its improvement. Quality is connected to the customer, design engineer, process employees, and to money. It is important.

Team approaches are highlighted throughout the text and in cases. Today's engineers, technicians, managers, and operating employees are normally part of multiple teams that are concerned with selection, analysis, and monitoring projects and investments. Senior management is not as all-knowing as in the past. Project and investment decisions are complex and often require a team for a solution.

In addition to questions and problems at the ends of the chapters there are discussion cases. These cases demonstrate the principles and concepts of the chapters. They are taken from actual situations, and are modified for inclusion in the book. Cases generally have no single textbook solution; multiple correct solutions often exist. And their information is never complete; assumptions are made to bridge the gaps. The mathematical components of the case are mixed with human and organization requirements and preferences. Very valuable real-world skills can be developed when analyzing and presenting cases. There are over 65 end-of-chapter cases, and a comprehensive case covering major topics is included in the Instructor's Manual.

There is not one set of financial principles for organizations and one set for individuals. For this reason, many techniques and tools apply to both organizations and individuals. Corporations, proprietorships, partnerships, not for profits, service organizations, manufacturers, medical offices, education, government—every organization and individual is an economic entity. Economic analysis principles apply to all. We do not change "financial hats" when we leave for work in the morning or when we return in the evening. Our economic understanding, analysis, and abilities are with us at home and work. Oikos, Greek for "house" or "household," is the root for the world economics. Economics begins in the home and extends to the organization, to the community, and to the nation.

A final theme throughout the book, detailed in the final chapter, is continuous improvement. To analyze and decide on a particular course of economic action is only the beginning. The investment or project must be monitored and improved throughout its life. The financial, economic, competitive, technical, and operating environments are so dynamic that investments need to be improved and monitored frequently. Few projects continue or are completed in exactly the same manner as planned. The concepts of monitoring, what-if, and continuous financial improvement appear throughout the book with specific techniques detailed in the last chapter.

Chapter Organization

Each chapter has a similar format to assist the reader to understand and review the material.

  • From Theory to Practice—An introductory case to spark initial discussion by class or teams.
  • Key Terms—New vocabulary that is introduced in the chapter.
  • Learning Concepts—Important items for readers to focus on during their reading and study of the chapter.
  • Introduction—An overview of the chapter. Content-The explanation, examples, and discussion of chapter topics.
  • Summary—A checklist of topics that should be understood after reading and study. Questions-A review of the important key topics of the chapter.
  • Problems—Similar to the examples in the chapter requiring specific solutions.
  • Discussion Cases—Taken from actual situations that require analysis, assumptions, decisions, and consideration of both economic and noneconomic information. Ideal for class and team discussion situations, these cases are important applications of the principles.

This format lends itself to defining key terms and concepts initially, covering the content in detail, and then reviewing and applying content principles to questions, answers, problem solution and analysis, and discussion of applied, real-world cases.

The chapters are grouped into four parts.

Part I, Financial Concepts, describes the economic system in the United States, historical record keeping and financial statements, and the Accounting Equation. Part I includes Chapter 1, Introduction to Financial Decisions; Chapter 2, Introduction to Financial Statements and the Accounting Equation; and Chapter 3, The Accounting Equation—Depreciation, Inventory, and Ratios.

Part II, Financial Analysis and Time Value of Money is based on the traditional approaches of interest calculations, applications of time value of money, and project and investment analysis and justification. Part II includes Chapter 4, Return on Investment and Single-Payment Calculations; Chapter 5, Annual Amount and Gradient Functions; Chapter 6, Time Value of Money Applications; and Chapter 7, Analyzing, Selecting, Monitoring, and Evaluating Projects and Investments.

Part III, Financial Decision Making, looks at the decision-making tools that complement time value of money analysis, such as breakeven, minimum costs, taxes, and replacement. Part III includes Chapter 8, Breakeven Analysis; Chapter 9, Minimum Cost Analysis; Chapter 10, Replacement Analysis; and Chapter 11, Taxes.

Part IV, Continuous Financial Improvement, presents the contemporary topics of quality economics and how to make continuous financial improvements in the organization. Part IV includes Chapter 12, Economics of Quality; and Chapter 13, Continuous Financial Improvement.

Supplements for Instructors and Students

In addition to the text, there are a number of supplements available to students, instructors, and practitioners. Feel free to contact the author at bowman@engr.iupui.edu

  • Student Study Guide (0-13-044990-3) contains solutions to odd-numbered problems, questions, and help for case analyses and studying the text. Answers are given in the text with complete solutions in the manual. The manual also contains a Comprehensive Case that covers all chapters in the text. It is a valuable aid to understanding and applying the text material.
  • Instructor's Manual with PowerPoint CD (0-13-048071-1) with solutions to questions, problems, and cases. Suggestions for presenting the topics and problem and case solutions are given.
Prerequisites

This text requires knowledge of college-level algebra and the use of a calculator. Example problems are solved using a basic calculator with exponential functions. However, it is helpful to have a programmable calculator and to program it with the time value of money equations. A scientific or financial calculator hard-wired with the time value of money formulas may also be useful.

Most readers are familiar with spreadsheets by the time they read this text material. Software such as Microsoft's Excel contains most of the depreciation and time value of money functions in its fx routines. Computer spreadsheets may be used with the examples, problems, and cases but are not required. These different solution techniques are demonstrated in the text and the reader is encouraged to use them.

Flexible Chapter Sequencing

Readers may choose to read or teach the materials in a sequence different from the one presented in the text. For example, financial statement topics may be omitted and the reader could start with the chapters on interest calculations and time value analysis. This approach would be valid in a curriculum in which accounting is a prerequisite. Or the last section, on measurement and continuous financial improvement, may be omitted without revising the applications of the first three sections.

The basics of interest calculations in Part 11 can be studied without covering Part III on tools and application of financial decision models. Part IV topics, monitoring and improvement techniques, can be introduced after Part II.

When used in in-service training courses for engineering, operating, management, and improvement teams, the parts and chapters may be selected individually as they apply to the organization's needs. For example, the organization's actual financial statements and cost information can be used to supplement Part I financial statement material. Specific chapters from Parts II and III can then be selected. If the organization is just beginning or continuing team approaches to financial improvements, topics from Part IV can be emphasized.

Specific focus on engineering, manufacturing, or service organizations can be obtained by assigning and discussing those examples, questions, problems, and cases that correlate to the size and type of organization.

Individuals interested in using the text for their personal financial understanding and improvement can focus on Parts I and 11 with specific emphasis on the examples, questions, problems, and cases that relate to the individual and the family.

The topics of the book can be used to prepare for the state engineering exam. Topics in Part II, sections of Part I on depreciation, and sections of Part III on breakeven and minimum costs would be useful.

No prior economic or financial background is assumed. However, if readers have an accounting or financial background, they will find many new applications and approaches to topics with which they are already familiar.

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  • Sales Rank: #1346938 in Books
  • Published on: 1800
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Epidemiology for Canadian Students: Principles, Methods and Critical AppraisalBy Scott Patten

Epidemiology for Canadian Students introduces students to the principles and methods of epidemiology and critical appraisal, all grounded within a Canadian context. This context is crucial—epidemiologic research in Canada most often uses data from Canadian registries, Canadian special purpose cohorts, provincial health administrators, national statistical agencies and other sources that will be important to Canadian students during their careers.

Dr. Scott Patten draws on more than 20 years’ experience teaching epidemiology to present core concepts in a conversational tone and pragmatic sequence. This introductory textbook is suitable for both undergraduate and graduate students, health professionals and trainees.

Topics include:

  • Basic principles and why epidemiological reasoning matters for health professionals.
  • Key parameters in descriptive and analytical epidemiology.
  • Sources of error in epidemiology, and ways to quantify and control error.
  • The concept of bias, which is introduced with basic parameter estimates to make it more accessible to students.
  • Key study designs and their vulnerability to error.
  • How to use critical appraisal and causal judgement to evaluate epidemiological studies.

  • Sales Rank: #4012945 in Books
  • Published on: 2015-03-17
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.05" h x .60" w x 6.00" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 304 pages

About the Author
Dr. Scott Patten obtained an MD from the University of Alberta in 1986, and subsequently completed an FRCPC in psychiatry (1991) and a PhD in epidemiology (1994) at the University of Calgary. He is a professor in the department of Community Health Sciences at the University of Calgary and is a senior health scholar with Alberta Innovates, Health Solutions. He has over 20 years experience teaching epidemiology and supervising graduate students. As a researcher, he has published more than 400 scientific papers and is the editor-in-chief of the Canadian Journal of Psychiatry.

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